Colorado Rockies: 3 bold predictions for the 2021 season
To say that the Colorado Rockies are going to be bad in 2021 is no one’s idea of a bold prediction. It wouldn’t even be a stretch to say that they’re going to lose 100 games for the first time in franchise history.
Remember when Dick Monfort predicted a 94-win 2020 season before the pandemic? After they lost 91 games the year before and didn’t make any major offseason moves which ultimately alienated arguably the greatest player in franchise history? In the words of the cinematic classic Superbad, “People don’t forget.”
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It’s very clear that, this offseason, Rockies fans haven’t forgotten a lot of things, including the team’s struggles over the last two seasons after back-to-back postseason appearances and, yes, that one trade that happened involving the St. Louis Cardinals. But hey, Nolan Arenado said he has “moved on” from the Rockies, and it’s time that we look ahead rather than behind, don’t you think?
Sure, the Rockies owner made a lot of noise with his bold prediction of 94 wins. This list, however, is going to be founded in somewhat realistic terms.
Here are three bold predictions for the 2021 Colorado Rockies…
Guys actually step up
An offseason after the 94-win wonder prediction, Monfort and Jeff Bridich addressed the media after trading their gone-too soon third baseman to St. Louis in one of the most depressing press conferences for Rockies fans in a long list to choose from. In a very quotable conference (including this fine line), Monfort said the following:
“I believe we’re shorter [on] talent than we were a year ago. But we’ve got a lot of guys that, to be quite honest, it’s time to cut bait. This could be the challenge that they need. This could be: They need to step up and fill in this void.”
Well, bait was cut alright when they let David Dahl, a year removed from an All-Star bid, inexplicably walk for nothing leaving the outfield depth even lighter especially with the news of Ian Desmond sitting out for the second season due to the pandemic. That leaves Charlie Blackmon, Raimel Tapia, Garrett Hampson, Sam Hilliard, and Yonathan Daza at the top of the outfield depth chart. First off Charlie can do no wrong, even if he goes 0-for-600 at the plate. He’s similar to Samson in that, if you cut his hair, or in this case, beard, that’s the only way he could lose all of his superpowers.
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Tapia had the most promising year of his career last season, hitting .321 with nearly one win above replacement. Considering he has a -0.7 career WAR, this is a welcomed sign. The sample size wasn’t a lot with 52 games. However, with the stability of a full season and knowing he is an everyday player, hopefully that can translate into a legitimate leadoff hitter. He benefited from Desmond sitting out last season. Maybe he can do it all over again.
As for filling the big gap in center, Hampson seems to be the top candidate followed by Hilliard and Chris Owings. Hampson isn’t the prototypical height to keep up in the expansive Coors Field center field next to prototypes like Blackmon (6’3″), Dahl (6’2″), Carlos Gonzalez (6’1″), Dexter Fowler (6’5″), or even Tapia (6’3″). In 2019, Hampson was among those who had the unenviable task of replacing DJ LeMahieu at second base when he (again) inexplicably walked for nothing to to the Yankees. Hampson wasn’t the full-time answer at second, but he has the most center field starts on the roster outside of Chuck Nazty and stepped up once Dahl went down with another injury. They’re really going to need him to do the same again this year.
Now to the infield. Ryan McMahon is never going to fill the giant Shaq-size shoes out at third. That’s okay. Brendan Rodgers is never going to fill the same size shoes at second. That’s okay. But McMahon is back at his natural position and the second base gig is solely Rodgers, once he returns from a hamstring injury. Consistency return for these two and that translates into their best seasons in the big leagues. They’ll develop into solid depth for the Rockies infield.
Get decent returns for Blackmon, Story, and Gray
Writing about Rockies greats (who defined one of the most prosperous eras in franchise history) leaving is painful, but it feels inevitable. Hopefully Charlie, Trevor, and the Gray Wolf have strong first halves of the season and the front office doesn’t let them walk for nothing. Unlike the trade with the Cardinals, it seems reasonable to get at least one top-10 prospect for at least one of these guys. If that’s too much to ask, maybe for all three of them? If it is, a nice story would be for Story and Blackmon to end up back near their roots in Texas and Georgia, respectively. They all deserve the best and much more.
The stands will be at full capacity in September
When all of Colorado’s best players are gone and the sun sets on an era, you won’t be able to tell by Coors Field attendance. Nearly two years away from baseball will have us all back in the stands and further motivating the front office that change isn’t necessary. As a great Purple Dino Podcaster once said, “Party Deck Against the World.”