Colorado Rockies: The case for and against re-signing Kevin Pillar

Sep 21, 2020; San Francisco, California, USA; Colorado Rockies center fielder Kevin Pillar (11) celebrates after hitting a solo home run against the San Francisco Giants in the third inning at Oracle Park. Mandatory Credit: John Hefti-USA TODAY Sports
Sep 21, 2020; San Francisco, California, USA; Colorado Rockies center fielder Kevin Pillar (11) celebrates after hitting a solo home run against the San Francisco Giants in the third inning at Oracle Park. Mandatory Credit: John Hefti-USA TODAY Sports
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DENVER, CO – SEPTEMBER 2: Centerfielder Kevin Pillar #11 of the Colorado Rockies makes a leaping catch at the wall for the final out of the seventh inning against the San Francisco Giants at Coors Field on September 2, 2020 in Denver, Colorado. (Photo by Justin Edmonds/Getty Images)
DENVER, CO – SEPTEMBER 2: Centerfielder Kevin Pillar #11 of the Colorado Rockies makes a leaping catch at the wall for the final out of the seventh inning against the San Francisco Giants at Coors Field on September 2, 2020 in Denver, Colorado. (Photo by Justin Edmonds/Getty Images) /

Should the Colorado Rockies bring back Kevin Pillar for the 2021 campaign? Let’s look at some of the reasons why they should and also why they shouldn’t.

On August 31, the Boston Red Sox sent veteran outfielder Kevin Pillar to the Colorado Rockies in exchange for 22-year-old right-handed pitcher Jacob Wallace and international slot money. The Rockies hoped that Pillar and another trade deadline acquisition, reliever Mychal Givens, would be enough to push them into the postseason. The duo, however, couldn’t provide enough of a spark to save Colorado from finishing out of the playoff picture and with a 26-34 mark.

In 24 games with Colorado, Pillar logged 91 at-bats with a .308/.351/.451 slash line and .801 OPS. His short time with the Rockies was good enough for 0.1 bWAR and 0.4 fWAR. His wRC+ of 99 was just below average, but combined with the 111 wRC+ he put up in Boston, he totaled 106 in the shortened campaign (his career numbers are 88 wRC+).

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Let’s also take into account a .343 wOBA and baseballs under the “hard hit” category at 38.4 percent, both small sample sizes but also the best of his career while wearing the purple.

By the way, Pillar’s overall xwOBA of .312 tied for the third-highest on the Rockies in 2020.

Signed by the Red Sox for a one-year, $4.25 million deal prior to the start of the 2020 campaign, the 31-year-old Pillar is now a free agent. The question now becomes will Pillar be on the Rockies when the 2021 campaign begins? With arbitration and free agency, Pillar has never been on more than a one-year deal. Could that trend continue before next season, with the Rockies or some other team? Pillar will likely be hoping to land a multi-year deal. Could that make it easier or more difficult for the Rockies to sign him?

As a note, ZiPS projections for the next two years have him totaling 1.4 fWAR and posting wOBAs of .297 and .290, respectively.

There’s a lot to think about with the decision so let’s dive into both sides and lay out the argument for each.

DENVER, CO – AUGUST 1: Kevin Pillar #11 of the Colorado Rockies bats during the first inning against the San Francisco Giants at Coors Field on September 1, 2020 in Denver, Colorado. (Photo by Justin Edmonds/Getty Images)
DENVER, CO – AUGUST 1: Kevin Pillar #11 of the Colorado Rockies bats during the first inning against the San Francisco Giants at Coors Field on September 1, 2020 in Denver, Colorado. (Photo by Justin Edmonds/Getty Images) /

I asked Chris Cotillo, who is the Red Sox beat writer for MassLive.com to give me his take on Pillar during his days with Boston and what he took away from Pillar’s presence on the team.

“He definitely emerged as a leader and was well-respected in the clubhouse,” Cotillo told me. “I was surprised at how quickly that happened. He’s an extremely confident guy and commands respect. “Defensively, he put his body on the line at least once a game and the Sox didn’t feel he had fallen off as much as metrics might have said. Overall, a really good stint.”

Cotillo’s line about Pillar being a leader is seemingly one of the reasons why the Rockies wanted to bring him in at the trade deadline.

“I’ve always thought of him as a gamer and a grinder,” Colorado general manager Jeff Bridich said shortly after the Pillar deal was announced. “And I think that will be a great fit for our club.”

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While we didn’t have access to the clubhouse in 2020 during the pandemic, there was a sense that something was needed in the Colorado dugout and behind the scenes to inject some energy into a club that was struggling midway through the 60-game slog. With Nolan Arenado hindered by a shoulder injury, Charlie Blackmon coming back to earth after a historic start to the campaign, and young players such as Ryan McMahon and Sam Hilliard not fulfilling their expected roles, there was plenty to worry about on the offensive side of the game. Pillar’s presence was seemingly welcomed.

“He plays a really good center field. He’s an aggressive, hard-nosed player. He’s a leader. He’s a — I know it’s used a lot — but now he’s a gamer,” Colorado manager Bud Black said. “That, I think we need right now.”

Do the Rockies need a leader in 2021? There is a good chance that next season could be a recipe for tension, knowing the team will be under pressure to perform with Arenado and Trevor Story’s contracts in flux at the end of the campaign. There will also likely be plenty of turnover in the clubhouse before the season begins as well. Will Ian Desmond return? Will the Rockies bring back Matt Kemp if Desmond does?

Desmond’s return and the health of David Dahl (after undergoing shoulder surgery this week) at the start of next season could be two of the more interesting components of Pillar coming back. If Desmond returns, the Rockies have another outfielder who brings a veteran voice. If Dahl returns, will he be able to shape back into All-Star form and, perhaps a bigger question, stay healthy for an entire season?

Should Desmond decide to step away from the game and/or there is any question about Dahl’s return, Pillar coming back to the Rockies makes sense on both levels. Pillar’s presence off the field could be just as important to this team as what he does in the lineup, especially if the schedule returns to 162 games in 2021.

Sep 1, 2020; Denver, Colorado, USA; Colorado Rockies center fielder Kevin Pillar (11) makes a throw from the warning track in the first inning against the San Francisco Giants at Coors Field. Mandatory Credit: Isaiah J. Downing-USA TODAY Sports
Sep 1, 2020; Denver, Colorado, USA; Colorado Rockies center fielder Kevin Pillar (11) makes a throw from the warning track in the first inning against the San Francisco Giants at Coors Field. Mandatory Credit: Isaiah J. Downing-USA TODAY Sports /

Kevin Pillar will be 32 when the 2021 season begins. That’s the same age that Charlie Blackmon moved from center field to right field. If Ian Desmond comes back or if the Rockies were to ink Matt Kemp again, that’s a trio (Kemp/Desmond, Blackmon, and Pillar) of older legs roaming the expanses of Coors Field and taking away chances from 20-somethings Raimel Tapia, Garrett Hampson, and Sam Hilliard to do the same.

Do the Rockies need another aging outfielder who is better in the corners than the center? Absolutely not.

In a year after a pandemic-shortened season where much is unknown as what finances will look like for the Rockies and other teams, Pillar’s contract will not come cheap. A roughly two-year, $9 million deal (if the Rockies were to look at what the Red Sox paid for Pillar for a single year) for an outfielder who is aging and statistically expected to decline at the plate and in the field would seemingly not produce the results that equal the spend.

Another one-year deal might work (especially if there are questions about Dahl or Desmond), but will Pillar want that? It could be a fallback for Pillar after checking other options.

Next. The 3 biggest lessons learned from Colorado's 2020 season. dark

Prediction: Despite the negatives, Pillar comes back to the Rockies on a two-year deal.

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