The Colorado Rockies sit atop the NL West on September 13th and are all by all means in the hunt for the Division.
They are 7-3 in their last ten, and 20-10 in their last 30 games. (per baseball-reference.com). The Dodgers are 5-5 and 15-15 in the same stretches and the D-Backs are 3-7 and 14-16. Yet ESPN places Colorado’s playoff chances at 60.2% with the Dodgers at 69.8%.
Now they have the stats and formulas. The Rockies, however, control their own destiny and can blow up the entire matrix by winning meaningful games here in September. They missed a golden opportunity to land a haymaker on the Dodgers this past weekend but will have more chances. In fact, every game is a chance because the Rockies are a game and a half ahead.
Most importantly, the Rockies face the Dodgers for three games coming up next week and a sweep would be go a long way in swinging the odds of a division title, but the Rockies have 15 other games to play and have been red hot in the last month.
If the Rockies were to win at that clip (.633) and the Dodgers were to play at .500 matching their last 30 the Rockies would win 11 and the Dodgers would win 9 games.
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That puts the Rockies winning the division by three games.
So beyond the opponent win percentage, home to road games, etc., the Rockies simply need to keep playing baseball like they have for the last month and they will win the division for the first time in franchise history. That is certainly easier said then done, but not at all outside of what the lineup and rotation is capable of.
So, as difficult and important as the remaining schedule may be, all the Rockies have to do is win meaningful games night in and night out as they have been doing for the last 30 games.
More bats are heating up across the order as I predicted they would in this article, the rotation is giving the team a chance to win nightly and the stakes get higher every day.