Colorado Rockies: A look at their current playoff odds

The Colorado Rockies have been on a roll as of late, winning six of their last seven and eight of their last 12 games. That includes a split in Houston with the defending World Champions and taking the first two games of an important four-game series in Atlanta.

The wins have pushed the Colorado Rockies ever closer to the lead in the National League West race and push for the Wild Card. Entering Saturday’s play, the Rockies are 1.5 games behind the Arizona Diamondbacks in the NL West and one game behind the Milwaukee Brewers for the second Wild Card spot. The St. Louis Cardinals, just ahead of the Rockies and behind the Brewers in the Wild Card standings, are hosting Milwaukee for a big weekend series. Next week, the Cardinals visit Coors Field for a weekend series that could have playoff implications.

There is a look at the current happenings and even a glance ahead to what’s coming. However, let’s look at how Colorado’s recent play has boosted their chances of making the postseason.

NOTE: We will be constantly updating the playoff odds at the bottom of this article as the season goes along.

According to FanGraphs, heading into Saturday, the Rockies have a 30.1 percent chance to make Rocktober happen again this season. Within the division, the Los Angeles Dodgers (79.0 percent) and Arizona (53.7 percent) have better odds to make the playoffs than the Rockies. Within the National League, six teams have a better shot of making the postseason than Colorado, including the Cubs, who currently sit at 98.4 percent, and the Cardinals, who own a 37.9 percent chance.

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So it doesn’t sound great for the Rockies, you say? Well, it sounds a lot better than it did recently.

On August 9, after the Dodgers recorded an 8-5 decision over the Rockies at Coors Field to win the opener of a four-game series, Colorado’s playoff odds were at 10.9 percent. The next evening, thanks in part to Ryan McMahon’s seventh-inning homer, Colorado logged a 5-4 win, setting the table for what has been a fantastic run against the Dodgers, Astros and Braves over the last week.

Yes, since that August 10 win, Colorado’s playoff odds have gone up 15 percent. That’s great … but consider that, on June 27, the Rockies were at 3.3 percent, so things have dramatically improved since then.

Will a second straight Rocktober happen for the first time in franchise history? The Rockies will have to continue playing like they have in recent games because the schedule doesn’t get any easier from here, including a 23-game stretch against NL West foes spanning late August and September.

NOTE: Below are updated odds…

August 19: After Saturday’s extra-inning win in Atlanta, Colorado’s playoff odds are now at 39.4 percent, their highest of the season.

August 20: Following the completion of Colorado’s first-ever four-game sweep in Atlanta, Colorado’s playoffs odds have increased to 44.1 percent.

August 21: The Rockies were off on Monday. With a Cardinals win over the Dodgers in LA, Colorado’s playoff odds dropped slightly to 42.2 percent.