Here’s the worst prediction for the Colorado Rockies for 2018
Some predictions for the Colorado Rockies have been a bit peculiar and some have not been. USA Today predicted that the Rockies would go 85-77 and make the playoffs, Bleacher Report predicted that they would go 91-71, and Fangraphs and Baseball Prospectus low-balled a bit when they predicted 80-82 and 78-84. However, leave ESPN, to A) have a very wide area of win projections and b) really low-balling the team.
ESPN’s…unorthodox system of predicting wins has a very wide range of projection for wins. First off, they are predicting them to be in fourth behind the Diamondbacks and Giants (which, if you look objectively, is absolutely insane as the Rockies added a lot to the team this offseason and the Dbacks subtracted a lot of players and replaced them with players who aren’t as good and a potentially injured Zack Greinke and the Giants lost 98 games last season).
But, for the Rockies, they have the Rockies projections between…67 and 87 wins. 67-95? Oh, please. They don’t rank all of the teams on their list but just the teams that they view to be on the bubble for trading players at the trade deadline. But, for comparison, they have the Pittsburgh Pirates between 66 and 86 wins and the Cincinnati Reds between 64 and 84 wins.
Mind you, the Pirates went 75-87 and the Reds went 68-94 last season. Last I checked, the Rockies went 87-75…and made the playoffs…and the Pirates and Reds…did not.
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The Toronto Blue Jays are predicted to go between 70 and 90 wins…and they went 76-86 last year. On paper, objectively look at their roster. They aren’t as good offensively (they were between last and third to last in the American League last season and had an OPS+ of 88, which was fourth worst in the majors in 2017 and a bullpen ERA that was 15th in baseball (the Rockies’ bullpen ERA was 20th, and that was before the additions of Wade Davis and Bryan Shaw.
So, in other words, their prediction system is extremely flawed…at best.
This coming week, we will have our own predictions on what we think on what the Rockies will look like this season and I’m going to go out on a limb and say that none of us will be saying that the Rockies will have one of their worst seasons in franchise history.
Next: After Altuve signing, it’s time to talk to Nolan Arenado
Bottom line is that a 67-95 record would be tied for the third worst record in franchise history and this team (as long as they don’t have injuries to numerous everyday players) will not go 67-95.