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Preseason MVP odds have changed and Blackmon’s now a favorite
Crazy things can and will continue to happen in the year 2020. In the preseason, Charlie Blackmon’s MVP odds sat way up at +10000, but thanks to his incredible start he’s become a favorite for the NL MVP at +650. As of now, he’s got the best odds behind only Mookie Betts.
A couple of other Rockies still have some pretty intriguing odds. Trevor Story now sits at +2000 (+4000 preseason) and Nolan’s have increased from +1800 to +3300. So what are Buchanan’s thoughts on these odds?
“I mean, the problem with Blackmon is you’re not getting a good price on him anymore. From what he’s done as well, it’s so unsustainable that his price is going to drop at some point. So if you like him to win the MVP, you can wait. You want him to regress a little bit to get a better price,” Buchanan advised.
And that’s a pretty good tip from him. It’s why you’re seeing more value on a guy like Arenado right now, whose odds were nowhere near as valuable as they are right now because he’s struggled out of the gate. So if you’re thinking Nolan’s still going to pull out the MVP because a lot of his underlying stats show he may be getting unlucky, plus you know a long road trip is coming up, you may want to wait out that road trip before placing your bet to possibly get the best odds you can on Arenado. But it’s not like you should shy away from him at +3300 either.
“At the current prices, Arenado at +3300 is not a bad price,” said Buchanan.
As for which Rockie he’d take with how things stand now?
“As of today, I would take the longer odds with Arenado. But as time moves on, I don’t think it would be crazy to sprinkle something back on Blackmon.”
Be sure to follow Steve on Twitter for more analysis on other MLB lines and if you do Daily Fantasy lineups, he’s your guy for more analysis there as well.