How the Colorado Rockies would actually perform in a season at a neutral site

PHOENIX, ARIZONA - AUGUST 20: Nolan Arenado #28 of the Colorado Rockies celebrates with Trevor Story #27 after Arenado's two-run home run off of Alex Young of the Arizona Diamondbacks during the fourth inning at Chase Field on August 20, 2019 in Phoenix, Arizona. Arenado was playing in his 1,000th MLB game. (Photo by Norm Hall/Getty Images)
PHOENIX, ARIZONA - AUGUST 20: Nolan Arenado #28 of the Colorado Rockies celebrates with Trevor Story #27 after Arenado's two-run home run off of Alex Young of the Arizona Diamondbacks during the fourth inning at Chase Field on August 20, 2019 in Phoenix, Arizona. Arenado was playing in his 1,000th MLB game. (Photo by Norm Hall/Getty Images) /
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Nolan Arenado and Bud Black of the Colorado Rockies
PHOENIX, AZ – MARCH 29: Nolan Arenado #28 of the Colorado Rockies high fives manager Bud Black #10 after hitting a solo home run against the Arizona Diamondbacks during the sixth inning of the opening day MLB game at Chase Field on March 29, 2018 in Phoenix, Arizona. (Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Images) /

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The thing you should take from this is that playing at a neutral site would not be detrimental to the Rockies, rather it’s more likely to be beneficial to them. The traditional stats aren’t going to be as friendly, but that’s not what you should be looking at in a scenario like this. A six-point increase in wRC+ should be expected, though the actual number may vary a couple points either way.

Are the comparisons I’ve provided here going to be exactly how each player would perform? Probably not exactly and you should still take them with a grain of salt, but they should give you a basic idea of how players like Arenado, Blackmon, and Story would actually perform away from Coors.

We’ve got plenty of examples of Rockies players getting better once they no longer call Coors their home and those players need to be viewed closer than simply looking at splits.

Next. The Top Five Center Fielders in Rockies history. dark

So while we wait for a decision on if we’ll even have a 2020 season, let’s ease up on the idea that playing at neutral sites would hurt the Rockies. We’ve got the data that proves otherwise. Let’s use it.

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