Colorado Rockies: making the case for free agent Carlos Santana

NEW YORK, NY - OCTOBER 09: Carlos Santana #41 of the Cleveland Indians celebrates with his teammates in the dugout after hitting a two run home run scoring Jay Bruce #32 against Luis Severino #40 of the New York Yankees during the fourth inning in Game Four of the American League Divisional Series at Yankee Stadium on October 9, 2017 in the Bronx borough of New York City. (Photo by Al Bello/Getty Images)
NEW YORK, NY - OCTOBER 09: Carlos Santana #41 of the Cleveland Indians celebrates with his teammates in the dugout after hitting a two run home run scoring Jay Bruce #32 against Luis Severino #40 of the New York Yankees during the fourth inning in Game Four of the American League Divisional Series at Yankee Stadium on October 9, 2017 in the Bronx borough of New York City. (Photo by Al Bello/Getty Images)
5 of 5
Next
/
Carlos Santana
Carlos Santana /

Even though the hot stove season has been barely simmering but by the time that the Winter Meetings are upon us in the next two weeks, the stove will be on fire. The Rockies will most assuredly be making a few moves as a part of it. One player who the Colorado Rockies could potentially be interested in is free agent first baseman Carlos Santana.

The Colorado Rockies signed Ian Desmond last offseason to play first base for the team in 2017 but due to the emergence of Mark Reynolds and struggles of Desmond, he did not play much of first. Now that Reynolds is a free agent, the Rockies will most likely be addressing first base again.

Patrick Saunders of the Denver Post said in this article yesterday, he believes that Desmond will play left field for the Rockies in 2018.

I, personally, would agree with Saunders in his assessment. So, two of the higher profile free agent first base options are Eric Hosmer (in which we discussed the case for the Rockies signing him in this article from Tuesday) and Carlos Santana.

Carlos Santana would be an intriguing option for the Rockies to play first base and will be cheaper to get than Hosmer so, perhaps, he may be more of a realistic option. Coming from somebody who has seen a lot of Carlos Santana considering he played for the Indians from 2010-2017 and me being from Northern Ohio, I think that Santana would be an excellent fit for the Rockies.

CLEVELAND, OH – JULY 9: Catcher Carlos Santana #41 of the Cleveland Indians throws out Jose Bautista #19 of the Toronto Blue Jays at Progressive Field on July 9, 2013 in Cleveland, Ohio. (Photo by Jason Miller/Getty Images)
CLEVELAND, OH – JULY 9: Catcher Carlos Santana #41 of the Cleveland Indians throws out Jose Bautista #19 of the Toronto Blue Jays at Progressive Field on July 9, 2013 in Cleveland, Ohio. (Photo by Jason Miller/Getty Images) /

Santana was originally was a catcher who the Indians acquired from the Los Angeles Dodgers for Casey Blake (who later became a Rockie) in 2008. The Indians gave him number 41 when he got to the major leagues because he was a switch hitting catcher from Latin America who had a very similar batting stance to his predecessor, who also shared these traits: Victor Martinez, who wore number 41 himself.

Santana made his MLB debut in 2010 as a catcher. Over time, the Indians transitioned him to first base. They also tried stints at third base (that was not a pretty sight) and, occasionally, have used him corner outfield spots (in a pinch). In the past three seasons or so, the Indians have used him as a designated hitter and first baseman. So, he is versatile on the field but he is also versatile in the lineup.

Just in 2017, he hit sixth in the order in 49 games, first  in 37 games, fifth in 28, 4th in 26, seventh in nine games, and third in four games (he technically hit ninth too but that was only for a pinch hitting appearance). In 2016, he hit leadoff in 86 games and fifth in 59 games (with a few games in other positions sprinkled in). So, he can hit just about anywhere in the lineup for the Rockies. He’d primarily play first base if he were to become a Rockie but he can play the outfield in a pinch (but he hasn’t played third or caught since 2014).

But why has he in so many place in the lineup?

CLEVELAND, OH – AUGUST 05: Carlos Santana #41 of the Cleveland Indians bats against the New York Yankees in the ninth inning at Progressive Field on August 5, 2017 in Cleveland, Ohio. The Yankees defeated the Indians 2-1. (Photo by David Maxwell/Getty Images)
CLEVELAND, OH – AUGUST 05: Carlos Santana #41 of the Cleveland Indians bats against the New York Yankees in the ninth inning at Progressive Field on August 5, 2017 in Cleveland, Ohio. The Yankees defeated the Indians 2-1. (Photo by David Maxwell/Getty Images) /

The simple answer to that question is that he is a versatile hitter. He would not be a prototypical lead off man considering he hit .231 in each 2014 and 2015 and .259 in each 2016 and 2017 (he may not even lead off with Charlie Blackmon doing so well in the leadoff spot in 2017) but there is a reason why he lead off so often: his on-base percentage.

Carlos Santana has never had an on-base percentage lower than .351 in his career. Since 2012, his average on-base percentage is .365. This is because he walks a ton. In the past four years, his walk numbers have dropped a few each year but he still had 88 walks in 2017 compared to just 94 strikeouts. In the past four seasons, he has averaged 102 walks a season to 110 strikeouts. With that, this is why he has lead off so often.

But hitting fifth as well is a lot is no small task for a team that went to Game 7 of the World Series in 2016 and won 102 games last season. He has had between 79 and 87 RBI in the past four seasons. Also, he has had 19 or more home runs in each of the four seasons (including 34 homers in 2016). He will also hit his fair share of doubles (he hit 37 last season) which would play well in Coors Field.

CLEVELAND, OH – MAY 15: First baseman Carlos Santana #41 of the Cleveland Indians catches a fly ball off the bat of Derek Norris of the Tampa Bay Rays to end the game at Progressive Field on May 15, 2017 in Cleveland, Ohio. The Indians defeated the Rays 8-7. (Photo by Jason Miller/Getty Images)
CLEVELAND, OH – MAY 15: First baseman Carlos Santana #41 of the Cleveland Indians catches a fly ball off the bat of Derek Norris of the Tampa Bay Rays to end the game at Progressive Field on May 15, 2017 in Cleveland, Ohio. The Indians defeated the Rays 8-7. (Photo by Jason Miller/Getty Images) /

Santana only played 64 games at first base in 2016 as the Indians had Mike Napoli play the majority of the games at first base and Santana would be the designated hitter. However, with Napoli leaving the Indians after the 2016 season and the Indians signing Edwin Encarnacion, who almost exclusively DH’s, Santana played first base in 140 games in 2017 while only DH’ing in seven.

Santana’s defense was so good that he was nominated for a Gold Glove. Eric Hosmer won it but if you look at the numbers, it should have been Santana.

Colorado Rockies
Colorado Rockies /

Colorado Rockies

According to Fangraphs, Hosmer had -7 Defensive Runs Saved. Santana was much better as he had 10 DRS at first, which was tied for the best in the American League and it was second best of all first baseman in baseball (Joey Votto of the Cincinnati Reds was first with 11 DRS). Hosmer was 18th among all first baseman in DRS.

With UZR (or Ultimate Zone Rating), Santana was second best in the American League to the Twins’ Joe Mauer (who was number one overall) and third best in baseball among first baseman (behind Mauer and Votto). Hosmer was 12th best so you can easily make the case that Santana should have won the award.

With Nolan Arenado and DJ LeMahieu winning Gold Gloves in 2017 and Trevor Story having 11 DRS, if the Rockies were to add Santana, they would definitely have the best defensive infield in baseball (if they don’t already).

/

More from Rox Pile

In their top 50 free agent predictions at the beginning of November, MLB Trade Rumors said that they believe that he is the 12th best free agent on the market. They also predicted that he would sign a three year, $45 million contract. He made $12 million last year so having an average annual value of $15 million is definitely plausible.

Santana will turn 32 in April so he won’t be getting some gargantuan length in a contract (like Hosmer, who just turned 28 last month could get).

I think that MLBTR’s prediction is just about right but I wouldn’t be surprised to see the total go to up to $50 million. Either way, that would be more affordable for the Rockies than what MLBTR is predicting for Hosmer (six years, $132 million).

Final Thoughts

Santana would provide good offensive numbers (118 OPS+ since 2016), good defense, versatility, leadership, and, also, postseason experience. The Indians went to the postseason in 2013 as well as 2016 and 2017. Considering how young and/or inexperienced most of the Rockies are in the postseason, Santana could provide some experience there as well.

Next: The case for signing Eric Hosmer

Coming from somebody who has seen a lot of him, he would be a great addition to the Rockies.

Next