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Colorado Rockies: Wild Card chase boils down to final 10 games

By Kevin Henry

MILWAUKEE, WI - APRIL 05: Jonathan Villar #5 of the Milwaukee Brewers is tagged out at second base by Trevor Story #27 of the Colorado Rockies during the first inning of a game at Miller Park on April 5, 2017 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. (Photo by Stacy Revere/Getty Images)
MILWAUKEE, WI - APRIL 05: Jonathan Villar #5 of the Milwaukee Brewers is tagged out at second base by Trevor Story #27 of the Colorado Rockies during the first inning of a game at Miller Park on April 5, 2017 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. (Photo by Stacy Revere/Getty Images) /
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The race for the second Wild Card spot between the Colorado Rockies and the Milwaukee Brewers is going to come down to the final 10 games of the regular season.

Colorado has lost three consecutive games, including Wednesday’s 4-0 shutout loss at San Francisco. During that time, Milwaukee has played like a team sensing the opportunity, taking two out of three in Pittsburgh. However, the Pirates kept the Brewers from pulling into a tie for the Wild Card on Wednesday night when Adam Frazier drilled a two-run homer in the bottom of the ninth.

So how do things look for the two teams over the final 10 games of the regular season? Let’s take a glance at the schedule and the current postseason odds.

Colorado (82-70) final 10-game schedule

September 21-24 at San Diego

September 25-27 vs. Miami

September 29-October 1 vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Colorado’s offense disappeared on Wednesday in San Francisco. Now the Rockies will be looking to find it again at Petco Park, a stadium not exactly known for its offensive explosions.

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The Rockies will use Tyler Anderson against the Padres on Thursday, followed by Jon Gray (Friday), Chad Bettis (Saturday) and German Marquez (Sunday). Noah Yingling compiled some interesting (and a little scary, for Rockies fans) numbers on the recent performance of the Colorado rotation in this article.

By the way, Miami’s Giancarlo Stanton blasted his 56th home run of the season on Wednesday afternoon. He and the Marlins visit Coors Field next Monday-Wednesday. With the Marlins out of the postseason picture, Stanton chasing a home run milestone like 60 in a season is the one bright spot in south Florida. Expect him to be swinging for the fences.

Postseason odds per FanGraphs: 68.2 percent

Milwaukee (81-71) final 10-game schedule

September 21-24 vs. Chicago Cubs

September 26-28 vs. Cincinnati

September 29-October 1 at St. Louis

Milwaukee now gets its next six games at home, with the National League Central-leading Cubs coming into Miller Park for an extremely important three-game series. Not only are the Brewers chasing the Rockies for the Wild Card spot but they have also made up ground on the Cubs in the division.

However, make no mistake about it, Wednesday night’s ninth-inning loss was a crushing defeat for the Brewers. Will they be able to put it behind them in what should be a tension-filled series against the Cubs?

Postseason odds per FanGraphs: 21.7 percent

Next: Which upcoming free agents could re-sign with Colorado in 2018?

Note: The St. Louis Cardinals still have a slim chance at the Wild Card. FanGraphs is putting their postseason chances at 12.1 percent. A reminder, the Cardinals and Brewers end the season with a three-game series against each other in St. Louis.

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