A Colorado Rockies Gambling Preview
Now to the fun part! We’ll see what our friends at WynnBET have in store for us with odds and see if we can find any value. Below are the relevant Rockies odds you can bet on through WynnBET:
70.0 Wins (-110 O/U)
NL Pennant Winner (+10000)
World Series Winner (+20000)
NL Cy Young – Germán Márquez (+7500)
These are the four futures we can bet on at WynnBET. There’s a notable future that isn’t currently available for some reason (Kris Bryant for NL MVP) but we’ll make do with what we have. Out of these four, there’s one line I really love and coincidentally it’s the only real playable line.
Recommended Pick: Colorado Rockies OVER 70.0 Wins (-110)
I had previously written about this in the middle of the lockout and prior to thinking the Rockies had any real chance at signing Kris Bryant. At the time, I was a fan of the Rockies going under 71.0 wins. But since then things have changed.
The analysis behind this line is pretty simple. With the moves the Rockies have made, I simply don’t believe that they’re going to be worse this season than they were last season. I was a huge fan of their under last year when it was set at 63.5 and they cleared that line by 10 games, finishing with 74 wins. With what the Rockies have done over the past month, I think that they at least can replicate those results.
Kris Bryant’s addition replaces what you lost from Trevor Story. Grichuk gives the Rockies a better OF bat than Tapia. Iglesias is a downgrade at the SS position, but his park-adjusted stats from last season give you a bat who produces somewhere between last year’s Sam Hilliard and Charlie Blackmon (though a very different hitting profile). The lineup should be improved from last season.
Where we may see some decrease in value from the lineup is from a defensive perspective. The Rockies have made a clear focus on improving the lineup and sacrificing on the defensive end. Part of that is forced (you don’t get much better defensively at SS than Trevor Story) but I think it’s also an admission that they recognize they need to improve offensively if they want to compete like they believe they can.