The Colorado Rockies play in the NL … and play in the NL West
Despite there being an extra playoff team in 2022, the Colorado Rockies still reside in the NL West. The Los Angeles Dodgers are superior to the Rockies in nearly every facet. Just look at their lineup with Freddie Freeman now. They seriously could have an All-Star at every position.
The Giants won’t be as good as they were in 2021 but they won 107 games. They could still drop 17 games and still be a 90-win team. The Rockies would have to gain 16 games to be a 90-win team.
The Padres do have to weather the Fernando Tatis, Jr. injury but they have a much better manager now in Bob Melvin. They almost certainly won’t be as bad as they were in 2021, when they went 79-83.
The D-Backs won’t be a good team but they also won’t lose 110 games again.
As things stand with talent that has been shown at the MLB level, the Colorado Rockies are no better than a fourth-place team.
A fourth-place team can make the playoffs in 2022 (e.g. the 2021 Toronto Blue Jays were a fourth-place team but they won 91 games so under the 2022 playoff structure, they would have been in the playoffs too) but are they better than one of the Cardinals or Brewers and two of the Braves, Mets, and Phillies? No, they are not.
They would have to show more talent with their current roster … leading to our last point.