Colorado Rockies: 3 bold predictions for the trade deadline

Jun 25, 2021; Milwaukee, Wisconsin, USA; Colorado Rockies pitcher Jon Gray (55) pitches in the first inning against the Milwaukee Brewers at American Family Field. Mandatory Credit: Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports
Jun 25, 2021; Milwaukee, Wisconsin, USA; Colorado Rockies pitcher Jon Gray (55) pitches in the first inning against the Milwaukee Brewers at American Family Field. Mandatory Credit: Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports /
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Colorado Rockies shortstop Trevor Story
Apr 30, 2021; Phoenix, Arizona, USA; Colorado Rockies shortstop Trevor Story (27) hits a single against the Arizona Diamondbacks during the first inning at Chase Field. Mandatory Credit: Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports /

The Colorado Rockies will trade Trevor Story … and fans will be very disappointed in the return

As we’ve discussed a few times recently (but most notably here), position players who are rentals do not get much in return when a team has just two months of control before free agency.

What’s most likely to happen is that the Rockies will get one of the acquiring team’s top 15 prospects and then, they will get two or three other low-ranked prospects.

We have seen that happen with the Rockies when they traded Troy Tulowitzki and we have seen it with other teams, like in the Manny Machado trade from Baltimore to the Dodgers.

Teams aren’t going to pay top dollar for two months of control, which is why some teams have turned to trading players when they have a year or two left on their contracts to try to maximize their return.

In reality, the Rockies should have done this with Trevor Story because the chance of extending him was slim but having the Nolan Arenado trade and a Trevor Story trade happen in the same offseason would have been even more cataclysmic for Rockies fans.

One way to soften the blow would be to add in someone else, like Jon Gray, C.J. Cron, or a relief pitcher into the deal so that the Rockies could get more in return but, in most trades, teams get the most out of players when they don’t send multiple major leaguers to another team together.