Current (6/4/21): 182 (8th)
Leaders Ahead: Todd Helton (369), Larry Walker (258), Vinny Castilla (239), Nolan Arenado (235), Carlos Gonzalez (227), Dante Bichette (201), and Troy Tulowitzki (188)
Home Runs needed for 1st Place: 188
Remaining Options High: 267
Remaining Options Likely: 233
Odds of #1: 0%
Likely Standing: 4th-5th
Todd Helton Time High: 395
Todd Helton Time Likely: 301
Odds of #1: Could happen, but unlikely
Likely Standing: 2nd
Charlie Blackmon hits a decent amount of home runs, but he has nothing on the Blake Street Bombers. This season, he will definitely pass Troy Tulowitzki for seventh place and get close to Dante Bichette in sixth. He should pass Bichette and eventually pass CarGo during his option years. There is an outside possibility that Blackmon might pass Nolan, but could be difficult.
If Blackmon has a Helton length career and his bat remains hot, then he would certainly move into second place, if not move into first in front of Todd Helton. We know Charlie can jack the ball, but the question will be how much of that power remains as he ages.
A drop-off would see him fall short of Helton’s mark but still more than likely move into second place above Larry Walker. If he remains consistent, he might challenge the Helton home run crown.