Colorado Rockies: Can Charlie Blackmon become the next Todd Helton?

DENVER, CO - APRIL 1: Charlie Blackmon #19 of the Colorado Rockies runs towards first base during the fourth inning against the Los Angeles Dodgers on Opening Day at Coors Field on April 1, 2021 in Denver, Colorado. (Photo by Justin Edmonds/Getty Images)
DENVER, CO - APRIL 1: Charlie Blackmon #19 of the Colorado Rockies runs towards first base during the fourth inning against the Los Angeles Dodgers on Opening Day at Coors Field on April 1, 2021 in Denver, Colorado. (Photo by Justin Edmonds/Getty Images) /
facebooktwitterreddit
Prev
13 of 16
Next
Charlie Blackmon of the Colorado Rockies
DENVER, CO – AUGUST 19: Charlie Blackmon #19 of the Colorado Rockies looks on while walking off the field during the first inning against the Houston Astros at Coors Field on August 19, 2020 in Denver, Colorado. (Photo by Justin Edmonds/Getty Images) /

Offensive WAR

Current (6/4/21): 25.6 (5th)

Leaders Ahead: Todd Helton (54.5), Larry Walker (43.6), Troy Tulowitzki (31.0), and Nolan Arenado (26.9)

oWAR needed for 1st Place: 28.9

Remaining Options High: 42.1

Remaining Options Likely: 34.6

Odds of #1: 0%

Likely Standing: 3rd

Todd Helton Time High: 64.1

Todd Helton Time Likely: 46.6

Odds of #1: Unlikely, but Possible

Likely Standing: 2nd

Ok, so let’s end our analysis on a big one. Offensive WAR is a statistic that looks at a player’s total offensive output, and that is where Charlie excels. Currently in fifth place, I would expect Blackmon to pass Nolan Arenado on this list at some point this season. It may take two seasons though for Blackmon to pass Tulo on this list.

Barring some miracle, Blackmon will most likely not catch up to Larry Walker in his option years, but if he remains with the club past that, it is reasonable to think he would eventually take that second place spot. It will be difficult for Blackmon to catch up with Todd Helton though, but not entirely unlikely. It really depends on what kind of career hitter Blackmon ends up becoming.

Personally, I believe he will stay right around where he is, a +.300 hitter with a smart offensive mind, meaning he will most likely end up short of Helton and possibly even short of Walker depending on how his age catches up to him. That said, being just barely behind the two greatest Colorado Rockies in history is not that much of an insult.

facebooktwitterreddit