Another obstacle is the 2022 class of first-timers.
Third, we need to consider the incoming players on the 2022 ballot. The two biggest names that pose a threat to make it into the Hall of Fame are Alex Rodriguez and David Ortiz. While A-Rod may have a lengthier stay on the ballot for many of the same reasons as Bonds and Clemens, Ortiz is more likely to capture a high percentage of votes early which could affect Helton. Additionally, if Bonds and Clemens get elected then that only makes the case for A-Rod a little easier.
In total that’s five players that will threaten additional progress for Helton in 2022. While there weren’t as many 10 player ballots this year, which means more open spots, I don’t think we’ll see a large number of them go to Helton in 2022, especially since he’ll only be in Year 4 and won’t need that boost right then and there as Walker did in his last few years on the ballot.
Fourth, Helton’s case may get stalled with other first basemen that will make their way on the ballot in coming years. I personally don’t believe there are many valid reasons for leaving Helton off a ballot right now, but I do believe there is one reason.