The three Colorado Rockies that Statcast did not like on offense in 2020

Sep 16, 2019; Denver, CO, USA; Colorado Rockies third baseman Nolan Arenado (28) and first baseman Daniel Murphy (9) celebrate after defeating the New York Mets at Coors Field. Mandatory Credit: Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports
Sep 16, 2019; Denver, CO, USA; Colorado Rockies third baseman Nolan Arenado (28) and first baseman Daniel Murphy (9) celebrate after defeating the New York Mets at Coors Field. Mandatory Credit: Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports /
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Colorado Rockies third baseman Nolan Arenado
Sep 12, 2020; Denver, Colorado, USA; Colorado Rockies third baseman Nolan Arenado (28) reacts following his strikeout in the first inning against the Los Angeles Angels at Coors Field. Mandatory Credit: Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports /

One Rockies player that would usually be a surprise but wasn’t in 2020

By the number of stats are in blue (bottom ten percent of the league), the Colorado Rockies’ offensive stats by individual player are littered with blue. The total number of blue stats is what we are using for this exercise.

For this one, it may come as a surprise to some and not a surprise to others: it’s Nolan Arenado. Coming into 2020, he’s the last (or one of the last) guys that you would think that would be on here. However, with his shoulder injury that happened in the second week of the season but he tried to play through it but it ultimately cut his season in the final week fo the season, Arenado is on the list.

He had three offensive stats that were in the bottom ten percent of the league: wOBAcon (weighted on-base average on balls in play), xwOBA (expected weighted on-base average), and xwOBAcon (expected weighted on-base average on balls in play).

The former two stats were just in the bottom ten percent but the xwOBAcon was in the bottom one percent of the league

Here’s how his numbers looked:

  • wOBAcon: .311 (league average: .370)
  • xwOBA: .275 (league average: .321)
  • xwOBAcon: .278 (league average: .376)

If he’s healthy, Arenado is the Rockies best offensive player so heading into 2021 (assuming he’s on the Rockies), these really shouldn’t be a concern for Arenado or the Rockies.