And therein lies the issue with not making the playoffs this year. It’s an expanded field and the Rockies are on the outside looking in with a roster whose results resemble much of what we saw in 2019. Monfort felt this was a 94-win team in a normal season. That’s essentially 35 wins in our shortened season and the Rockies won’t be reaching that mark this season, even if they won every remaining game on the schedule. They’re well below Monfort’s expectations, which may not be a shock to most of us, but they’re still underachieving. After their 11-3 start their odds to make the playoffs were 74.7% and today they sit at a lowly 12.1%. It’s an incredible drop, but one that none of us are likely shocked by.
They’re two games back of a playoff spot as of Wednesday night with 12 games to go. It’s not impossible, but there’s a relatively small margin of error for the Rockies, especially with eight of the remaining games being split between the Los Angeles Dodgers and San Francisco Giants.
And even if making the playoffs only helps the Arenado/Story situation artificially, it’s at least a small step to show them this team can be competitive and potentially can attract the free agents that Jeff Bridich will need to acquire this offseason.
But missing the playoffs will make this offseason one of the most important offseasons in Rockies’ history. Every move is going to be highly scrutinized and, if they don’t work out by June, then we should expect that neither Nolan Arenado or Trevor Story will be on the roster on July 31, 2021, much less at any point in 2022 or beyond. The left side of Coors Shield will be no longer.
Make the playoffs and things can potentially be rectified. Miss the playoffs and you put the fate of Arenado’s and Story’s Rockies careers in the hands of Jeff Bridich and the work he’ll put in to one single offseason.
Do you trust him to make the right moves?