You may be able to take advantage of some great promotions for some Colorado Rockies bets before Opening Day.
A couple of weeks ago we dove into nearly every Colorado Rockies line I could find and tried to find some great lines to bet on. That was fun, but probably way too in-depth for most of you. And many of those player props aren’t available on apps you’re more familiar with like DraftKings and Fanduel (who are also offering some great promotions for Opening Day that we’re going to check out). But some of the other lines that involve Team Futures?
They’re widely available, so let’s break some down before the Rockies win 15 in a row out of the gate and you lose all the value you could’ve had:
Rockies Team Total for Wins
BetOnline.Ag: 27.5 (+100 Over/-130 Under)
Fanduel: 26.5 (-116 Over/-106 Under)
DraftKings: 26.5 (-118 Over/-106 Under)
When we last looked at these lines it was just DraftKings who was at 26.5 wins. Now Fanduel has dropped from 27.5 to 26.5 and BetOnline hasn’t budged, though the odds suggest people are betting the under right now. And if I was you, I’d hop on the over at either Fanduel or DraftKings so buy you that extra game.
Right now the PECOTA projections suggest the Rockies record will be 27-33. How accurate has PECOTA been? Well, like most things with the Rockies it’s been a bit off in recent years. In 2017 and 2018 it underestimated the Rockies by 11 and 13 wins while in 2019 it overestimated them by 14 wins. That’s about 7.8% of wiggle room we can play around with on average, which equates to about 4.7 games in a 60 game schedule.
If we round down (to be safe) that means a 4-game improvement would make the Rockies 31-29. That’s probably ambitious, but to say they’d outperform PECOTA by a win or two is very realistic. Now they could very easily go backward on that number too if they play like they did last season, but I believe they’ll rebound positively and could outperform PECOTA projections by a smidgen again.
Take the over at either Fanduel (-116) or DraftKings (-118).