Charlie Blackmon Player Props:
Batting Average Over/Under: .305 (-115)
RBI Over/Under: 28.5 (-115)
Total HRs: 9.5 (-115)
With more appearances as a DH being very likely for Blackmon this season, that’s going to give him more time to rest and focus on hitting. Even though he’s getting up there in age, his bat should stay hot. In three of the past four seasons he’s had a batting average of .314 or higher and a wRC+ no lower than 117. He would have hit the over on HRs in three of the past four seasons as well. Chuck also would have hit the RBI mark in the same three seasons (it’s only 2018 holding everything back here). With the RBI mark so much lower for him than Nolan, and no automatic out pitchers in front of him, that number may be easier to achieve this season.
Lines to take:
Batting Average: Over .305 (-115)
RBI Total: Over 28.5 (-115)
Total HRs: Over 9.5 (-115)
Daniel Murphy Player Props:
Batting Average Over/Under: .299 (-115)
RBI Over/Under: 29.5 (-115)
Total HRs: 5.5 (-115)
Murphy didn’t exactly have the greatest season last year and it’s not likely to continue. Based off what we’ve started to see early this week with practice starting back up, McMahon may find himself at 1B more while Murphy will split time between 1B and DH. And let’s not forget that Matt Kemp is now a part of the team and would fit right into Murphy’s role as 1B/DH. He may be in danger of overall playing time and that’s going to influence some of these lines here.
Murphy has performed well in past seasons but his wRC+ has dropped off significantly over the past two. Even the most optimistic of projections on Fangraphs doesn’t have Murphy hitting above .292 in 2020. And with limited opportunities that puts his RBI total in danger to me as well. I do think that he’ll bounce back a little bit from last season and part of that will be actually learning how to hit a HR at Coors Field. But overall we’ll fade some of these lines.
Lines to take:
Batting Average: Under .299 (-115)
RBI Total: Under 29.5 (-115)
Total HRs: Over 5.5 (-115)