How the Colorado Rockies would actually perform in a season at a neutral site

Here’s how we’re going to figure out how some of the Rockies’ superstars new stat lines would look at a neutral site:

We’ll take that six-point wRC+ increase, apply it to our selected Rockies player’s 2019 wRC+, and find a like player from recent years whose wRC+ matches that (or is close) and has a similar approach at the plate (using things like K% and BB%).

Nolan Arenado 

2019 Stats:

• .315/.379/.583 Slash Line
• .962 OPS
• 41 HR
• 128 wRC+
• 9.4 percent BB rate
• 14.0 percent K rate

Applying the six-point increase to wRC+ gives Nolan a new wRC+ of 134. Based on that, his best comparison is 2016 Ryan Braun, whose stat line reads as follows:

• .305/.365/.538 Slash Line
• .903 OPS
• 30 HR
• 134 wRC+
• 8.2 percent BB rate
• 17.4 percent K rate

Charlie Blackmon

2019 Stats:

• .314/.364/.576 Slash Line
• .940 OPS
• 32 HR
• 125 wRC+
• 6.3 percent BB rate
• 16.4 percent K rate

This would give Blackmon a new wRC+ of 131 after the six-point boost. This makes his best comparison 2019 Justin Turner:

• .290/.372/.509 Slash Line
• .881 OPS
• 27 HR
• 132 wRC+
• 9.3 percent BB rate
• 16.0 percent K rate

Trevor Story

2019 Stats:

• .294/.363/.554 Slash Line
• .917 OPS
• 35 HR
• 121 wRC+
• 8.8 percent BB rate
• 26.5 percent K rate

Story’s new wRC+ would be 127 at a neutral site. This makes his best comparison 2017 Domingo Santana:

• .278/.371/.505 Slash Line
• .875 OPS
• 30 HR
• 127 wRC+
• 12.0 percent BB rate
• 29.3 percent K rate