How the Colorado Rockies would actually perform in a season at a neutral site

PHOENIX, ARIZONA - AUGUST 20: Nolan Arenado #28 of the Colorado Rockies celebrates with Trevor Story #27 after Arenado's two-run home run off of Alex Young of the Arizona Diamondbacks during the fourth inning at Chase Field on August 20, 2019 in Phoenix, Arizona. Arenado was playing in his 1,000th MLB game. (Photo by Norm Hall/Getty Images)
PHOENIX, ARIZONA - AUGUST 20: Nolan Arenado #28 of the Colorado Rockies celebrates with Trevor Story #27 after Arenado's two-run home run off of Alex Young of the Arizona Diamondbacks during the fourth inning at Chase Field on August 20, 2019 in Phoenix, Arizona. Arenado was playing in his 1,000th MLB game. (Photo by Norm Hall/Getty Images) /
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Charlie Blackmon of the Colorado Rockies
SAN FRANCISCO, CALIFORNIA – SEPTEMBER 24: Charlie Blackmon #19 of the Colorado Rockies celebrates a three run home run with Raimel Tapia #15 and Nolan Arenado #28 during the sixteenth inning against the San Francisco Giants at Oracle Park on September 24, 2019 in San Francisco, California. (Photo by Daniel Shirey/Getty Images) /

It wouldn’t make a dramatic difference from how they performed in 2019, but it would be an improvement. Those six points brings them up from ranking 26th in the league to tied for 19th with the Blue Jays and Pirates. So we’re essentially getting bumped up from “bad” to “well, that’s not that bad.”

It does show a dramatic difference, though, from how many of the “experts” may perceive the Rockies would perform at a neutral site based off how they traditionally perform on the road.

In 2019, the Rockies had a road wRC+ of 74, good enough for next to last in the majors above only the Marlins (this means they hit 26 percent worse than league average on the road). This is the perception that many have of how the Rockies would truly hit if they never played at Coors.

It’s extremely short-sighted and ignores many of the factors that the Rockies encounter that no other teams face (specifically the adjustments brought on by consistently going back and forth between games at altitude and games at sea level).

The mentality is also rooted in simply looking at traditional stats because yes, you’re going to see a decrease in nearly every stat. So how would this six-point wRC+ increase look for some of our best players’ traditional stat lines? Let’s figure it out.

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