How the Colorado Rockies would actually perform in a season at a neutral site
By Kevin Larson
In those 1,400 plate appearances, get a decent mix of games at more neutral parks (Miller Park and Chase Field) along with some more extreme pitcher’s parks (Petco Park, Marlins Stadium, Tropicana Field, Minute Maid Ballpark). And the Rockies’ wRC+ varies too from multiple series where they just crushed it (149 and 138 vs the Brewers in 2013 and 2015 plus 137 vs the D’Backs in 2016). Unfortunately, we have a major drop-off from that horrendous start in 2019 (23 vs the Marlins and Rays). So, the results should be fairly balanced when everything’s lumped together.
Here’s how the Rockies slash line looks in these games:
- BA: .256
- OBP: .311
- SLG%: .421
That gives us a team OPS of .732 while the Rockies’ 2019 OPS was .782 (slash line of .265/.326/.456). By traditional stats, that seems like a decent drop, but this is also why park-adjusted stats are so important. That OPS of .782 gave the Rockies a wRC+ of 86 last season while the Cubs, who posted an OPS only 1 point higher at .783, had a wRC+ of 102.
So what does that OPS of .732 really mean?