How lucky are Colorado Rockies hitters actually getting?

Charlie Blackmon: True

So Chuck Nazty always seems to be everyone’s favorite “Coors Merchant” because they like to point at his Home/Road splits. I’ve always advocated that using Home/Road splits to evaluate Rockies players is incorrect for a multitude of reasons and that looking at the whole picture is the more appropriate method. So let’s take a look at how Blackmon’s gotten to his wOBA of .392.

First and foremost, Blackmon’s wOBA of .392 ranks second on the Rockies behind only Arenado. His xwOBA of .357 ranks first. That gap of 35 points ranks 38th in MLB.

Blackmon’s Soft/Medium/Hard hit line reads very similarly to the league averages, though he hits it just a bit harder than league average. He’s also barreling up the ball at a slightly higher rate than league average (6.3%), good enough for third best on the Rockies.

I noted earlier about how Arenado has been better against the shift than when facing a traditional defense alignment. Blackmon is no stranger to the shift either as he gets shifted on 51.9% of the time. Maybe teams should stop, though, because Blackmon’s wOBA is .417 against the shift while it’s only .367 without it. Any weak contact away is going to negatively impact his xwOBA. It’s still impressive to see such a positive jump when he’s facing the shift, though.