David Dahl: True
Dahl’s wOBA vs xwOBA gap of 32 points is a little above average for the Rockies (the average Rockies gap is about 24 points while the league average is 5). However, his numbers are more true for a lot of the same reasons that Trevor Story’s are.
He doesn’t hit the ball soft. Only 13.3% of his hits this season have been deemed “soft” per FanGraphs. On top of that, his Line Drive Percentage of 26.1% is well above the league average of 21.4%. And while he hits fewer fly balls than you’d probably like to see, he’s still barreling up the ball on 6.8% of all plate appearances (leads all Rockies).
There’s still work to be done with Dahl in terms of consistency, but as long as Dahl keeps barreling up the ball we’ll see his numbers continue to rise.