How lucky are Colorado Rockies hitters actually getting?

DENVER, CO - JULY 15: Ryan McMahon #24 of the Colorado Rockies is congratulated in the dugout after hitting a seventh inning solo homer against the San Francisco Giants during game one of a doubleheader at Coors Field on July 15, 2019 in Denver, Colorado. (Photo by Dustin Bradford/Getty Images) /

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DENVER, CO – AUGUST 17: Trevor Story #27 of the Colorado Rockies follows the flight of a second inning two-run homer against the Miami Marlins at Coors Field on August 17, 2019 in Denver, Colorado. (Photo by Dustin Bradford/Getty Images) /

Trevor Story: True

Story has the 3rd highest wOBA vs xwOBA gap on the team sitting at 44 points. It’s 21st-largest in MLB. That gap is also extremely misleading to those who aren’t looking closer at the numbers.

For starters, Story doesn’t hit the ball soft. He has the lowest Soft Hit Percentage on the Rockies at 12.6% (league average is 17.0%). The rest of that translates well into his Hard Hit Percentage of 43.6%, second on the Rockies. He hits a little bit below league average in terms of Barrels per PA %, but where he really excels is not hitting the ball on the ground. His GB% of 33.3% is nearly 10% below league average. When you play in a park like Coors, it’s a fantastic idea to hit the ball in the air and to hit it hard. Story does both and does it well.

Story’s gap is more related to him hitting for power, not due to Coors. His numbers are more true than xwOBA would have you believe.

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