The Rockies won’t make the playoffs
We’ve talked a lot about good things that will happen for the Rockies the rest of the way … but we’re going to have to end this article with a bit of a downer by predicting the Rockies will not qualify for their third consecutive postseason.
So why do we think that? As we said in the offseason, there were plenty of National League teams who were making themselves better while the Rockies made smaller moves (acquiring Daniel Murphy as their biggest bombshell). We see the same type of scenario happening near the trade deadline as well with teams like the Dodgers, Brewers, Cubs, Phillies and Cardinals likely making bigger deals that will make the difference.
Also, as we discussed earlier, Colorado’s September schedule with 12 division road games is tough. The Rockies still have to visit the Yankees for three games as part of a 10-game road swing through New York, Washington and Cincinnati this month right before coming home for three against the Dodgers.
How Colorado fares in that stretch could be very telling for their postseason chances. They are entering the second half with an 11.2 percent chance of making Rocktober happen per FanGraphs. Nine other teams are given higher odds.
I was booed at the preseason SABR meeting in downtown Denver for saying Colorado wouldn’t make the playoffs this season because of the lack of offseason moves and what I felt would be regression in the rotation. I want to be wrong … but I don’t think I will be.