Five Bold Predictions for the Rockies in the Second Half
If the Rockies are currently have a 52-39 record, which is a little bit above a .571 winning percentage. That winning percentage would put them at 92.57 to end the season (so essentially, 93 wins). By record, the best season in Rockies’ history was 2009 when the team went 92-70 so even at their current pace, the Rockies’ would have their best season in their 25 season history. However, if they acquire some help for the starting pitching rotation, outfield, and bullpen as well as see improvement from their current players (Carlos Gonzalez, Trevor Story, etc.), this team could easily win 100 games.
Before their recent slide in which they lost 13 of 18 heading into the All-Star break, the Rockies were in first place in the National League West with a 47-26 record on June 20. Their winning percentage was .644 which would put them at 104 wins (if you round down).
Their schedule also favors them as well as they only have 25 games for the remainder of their 71 games (or 35%) against teams with a winning record. For the remaining schedule (going in order without counting offdays), they have three games a piece with each the Mets, Padres, Pirates, Cardinals, Nationals (team with a winning record), Mets (again), and Phillies (through August 7). They have two games against the reigning American League champion Indians, three with the Marlins, four with the Braves, three each with the Brewers (winning team), Royals (winning team), Braves (again), Tigers, Diamondbacks (winning team), and Giants through September 6.
The hardest part of the schedule then comes on September 7 with four each with the Dodgers and Diamondbacks on the road (winning teams). Following that is a break three with the Padres, two with the Giants, four with the Padres, three with Miami before ending the regular season with three games with the Dodgers.
Especially in the rest of July and most of August, the Rockies should able to get on a roll.
The Rockies won’t be playing in the Wild Card game because they will win the National League West.
(GASP!!!) I know, call me crazy because the Dodgers have played very well lately and the Rockies haven’t played well but these aren’t wimpy predictions, they’re bold predictions and this one could actually happen. The Dodgers even have a better schedule than the Rockies as they only have 21 games with winning teams for the remainder of the year but crazier things have happened.
The 2011 Boston Red Sox had a nine game lead over the Tampa Bay Rays and a half game lead over the New York Yankees for the American League East heading into September. They choked and didn’t even make the playoffs. Ironically, this was the last season before the second wild card. Had it been in existence then, the Red Sox still would have gotten the second spot by four games over the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim.
The Rockies have a 9.5 game gap between the them and the Dodgers with a month and a half longer than the Dodgers so it’s not completely out of the realm of possibility. As mentioned on the previous slide, if the current Rockies play up to their potential and if they acquire some help at the deadline, this is another achievement that the Rockies could accomplish. It obviously wouldn’t be the easiest thing to do but over 71 games, it’s more achievable than you think.