5 Reasons Why the Colorado Rockies Will Win the World Series
There are five reasons why the Colorado Rockies will win the World Series.
You are probably wondering how in the world are the Rockies going to win the World Series after missing the playoffs last season going only 75-87.
According to Westgate Las Vegas Superbook, the Rockies have a 50-1 odds of winning the World Series. As Lloyd said in Dumb and Dumber, “So you’re saying there’s a chance?”
Every team has a chance when it comes to winning the World Series. Obviously many things have to fall into place, especially for teams with long shot odds.
We all remember 2007, the year the Rockies won 14 of their last 15 to gain a tie breaker against the San Diego Padres. They beat the Padres and went on to sweep the next three series. They eventually made it to the World Series, but were unfortunately swept by the Boston Red Sox.
Well what if I told you that the Colorado Rockies odds of winning the World Series in 2007 was 90-1?
This is why I want to talk about five things that must fall into place for the Rockies if they want to break the odds and win the World Series.
1. Colorado Rockies starting rotation will finish with a 4.00 ERA
The Rockies have a very young, talented starting rotation, led by 25-year-old Jon Gray. Gray went 10-10 with a 4.61 ERA last season.
He is looking to improve his arsenal. He has a 94-98 MPH fastball and a nasty slider. This offseason, he is looking to add a curveball, which will help keep the ball on the ground in the thin air of Colorado.
This year, Gray will continue to improve and be one of the best pitchers in the organization.
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The second man of the rotation is 27-year-old Tyler Chatwood. Chatwood went 12-9 with a 3.87 ERA. He also led the MLB in road ERA at 1.69.
Chatwood’s go to pitch is his sinker. He produces a ground ball rate of 57%, which is exactly what you want at Coors Field.
This year, Chatwood will continue his road dominance, but will also bring his road magic to Coors Field.
The next pitcher in the rotation is 27-year-old Tyler Anderson. Anderson went 5-6 with a 3.54 ERA last season.
Surprisingly he had a better home ERA than his road ERA. This year, his road ERA will drop from 4.71 to 4.00.
Unfortunately, the Rockies lost Chad Bettis as his testicular cancer spread. This means that the final two spots of the rotation will most likely be taken by young pitchers Kyle Freeland and German Marquez.
This year, Freeland and Marquez will far exceed expectations and dominate as rookies.
This season, the Rockies will win the World Series, because their starting rotation will finish in the top 10 with an ERA of at least 4.00.
2. The Rockies bullpen will finish in the top 15 of bullpen ERA
Finishing 15th (middle of the league) in bullpen ERA isn’t saying much. However, when the Rockies finished dead last in bullpen ERA, it is a significant improvement.
Finishing in the top 15 means improving their ERA from 5.13 to 3.65. This is very possible, given the offseason pick-ups the Rockies added.
This offseason, Colorado GM Jeff Bridich signed Greg Holland, 31, and Mike Dunn, 31.
Colorado Rockies
Holland, Kansas City’s former closer, is coming of Tommy John surgery. However, he will come back without missing a beat.
This year, he will pitch like his two-time All-Star days, which included a 1.44 ERA, 46 saves, and 90 strikeouts.
Former Miami Marlins reliever Mike Dunn went 6-1 with a 3.40 ERA. This signing adds a veteran arm to the bullpen while also bringing in more talent. This year, Dunn will have one of his best seasons yet and be a go to long reliever for the Rox.
The Rockies bullpen will be led by 31-year-old Adam Ottavino. Ottavino is coming off one of his best seasons going 1-3 with a 2.67 ERA..
Ottavino will have his best season of his career and be named an NL All-Star.
The bullpen has some added weapons, but the Rockies will also have to rely on its current pitchers. This year, they will improve and be a solid foundation for the Rox new additions.
This season, the Rockies will win the World Series, because their bullpen is much improved and will finish in the top 15 of bullpen ERA.
3. The Rockies will have its most consistent season
The Rockies usually are one of the hottest teams to start out the season, and every year they not only excite Rockies fans but all of MLB.
However, that quickly fades as they come back down to Earth and their record begins to plummet.
The Rockies typically start out April going at least .500, which is amazing in the eyes of Rockies fans. Then comes May. The rest of the season the Rockies struggle just to reach a .450 record every month.
This is due to many reasons. The game begins to take its toll on the players and the excitement of Opening Day starts to subside. The grind of the season begins to become very real.
Also injuries start to pile up and impact teams. This is true for the Rockies, who have struggled with injuries for years.
However, this year, the Rockies will win the World Series because they will finish each month with at least a .500 record. This will be their most consistent season in franchise history.
4. The Rockies will stay healthy the entire season
I already mentioned that the Rockies have struggled with injuries every year.
This year, they have already been impacted by injuries, before the season has even started.
They have lost starting pitcher, Chad Bettis, after he discovered his testicular cancer has spread. He mentioned that he will start chemotherapy and will return when his cancer is gone. Could he return before the end of the season?
The Rockies have also lost newly acquired first baseman Ian Desmond. Desmond broke his hand after being hit by a pitch and will most likely miss the first five weeks of the season.
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The Rockies also lost outfielder David Dahl to a stressed rib.
At first, he was only supposed to miss a couple weeks of Spring Training. However, the injury turned out to be more serious than expected, as he will now most likely miss all of April.
Catcher Tom Murphy will also be out four to six weeks due to a stress fracture in his forearm.
The Rockies have struggled with injuries for years.
For example, Carlos Gonzalez has suffered multiple wrist injuries throughout the past seasons.
Last year, Trevor Story suffered a torn ligament in his thumb to end an impressive rookie season and Gerardo Parra suffered a sprained ankle after a collision in the outfield.
There are multiple pitchers who have suffered Tommy John surgery, including Greg Holland who is playing in his first season following the surgery.
Adam Ottavino and Tyler Chatwood both suffered through Tommy John surgery and made their first return from the injury last season.
The injuries that the Rockies have already suffered won’t hurt them, because they have experienced, talented back-ups in place.
Tom Murphy will be replaced by Tony Wolters, who is possibly one of the best defensive catchers in the league.
Mark Reynolds, who started last season at first base, will replace Ian Desmond until he returns.
Parra, who started in left field last year, will take over for David Dahl until he heals.
If injuries occur throughout the year, the Rockies have the depth to minimize the impact it will have on their season.
This year the Rockies will win the World Series, because they will stay healthy for the majority of the season.
5. The Rockies will hit .300 as a team on the road
The Rockies have an explosive lineup, possibly the greatest lineup in the league this year.
Last year, they hit .304 at home in the thin air of 5,280 feet. However, on the road they hit a sub-par .246.
Last year they had a great lineup. However, this year they will be even better.
They added a great hitter in Ian Desmond at first. Rockies fans will also be able to watch Story and Dahl for almost an entire season after both had stellar, but short-lived rookie seasons.
Even the weakest link in the lineup, Tony Wolters, has improved his hitting. He finished last season hitting .259, but steadily improved every month finishing the final month of the season hitting .290.
For what its worth he is also hitting .424 in Spring Training. Even the weakest link in the lineup will have a solid season at the plate.
This year the Rockies home batting average will increase slightly. However, more importantly the Rockies will win the World Series, because their road batting average will sky-rocket into the .300s.
Next: 5 Bold Predictions for Colorado in the 2017 Season
Do you believe in the Rockies now? Sure, the Rockies are 50-1 odds of winning it all, but if these five things fall into place for the Rockies expect them to be holding the World Series trophy at the end of this season.